Sarpsborg have 17 points after 14 rounds and they are in the middle of the table.
Their actual form is mixed, with one win and one defeat after the international break. What is important for my pick, Sarpsborg played efficient matches in the last period. To be more precise, the last seven matches in Tippeligaen finished with Over 2.5 goals, six of them with Over 3.5 goals. They managed to beat Sandnes Ulf (3:2) and Start (2:1), played draw with Valerenga (3:3) and lost four matches – 5:0 from Tromso, 4:2 from Rosenborg, 3:1 from Brann and 3:1 from Molde. It is clear Sarpsborg have defensive problems, but at the same time they managed to score on all but one match.
Match: Sparta S. – Odd Grenland 18:00h
League: Norway Tipperligaen
Our prediction: over 2.5 goals Odds: 1.70
Odd Grenland are just one place behind Sarpsborg, with two points deficit. It seems they took some benefit from the international break – one win and one draw is a good record for the coach Fagermo and his players. Odd were impressive on the last match, winning 4:0 against solid Haugesund. Four goals were scored by four different players – Storbaek, Shala, Johnsen and White.
Both coaches have one worry in front of this match. Sarpsborg coach Deane has Magnus Sylling Olsen doubtful for this match, while his counterpart Fagermo will be missing the suspended Jone Samuelsen due to accumulated yellow cards.
The last mutual games between two teams at Sarpsborg Stadion have finished with Over 2.5 goals. Here are the results:
27.11.2011. Sarpsborg – Odd Grenland 3:2
01.11.2008. Sarpsborg – Odd Grenland 5:1
I expect goals again.